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R$ 2 trillion in tech by 2029: data centers at the center

Gabriel Ferraresi· CEO | Tech86October 6, 20263 min
brazildata-centerscloudaiinvestmentbrasscom

Brazil will invest 2 trillion reais in technology between 2026 and 2029. The number comes from Brasscom: R$ 2 trillion total, with R$ 765.6 billion in cloud, R$ 736.6 billion in AI, and R$ 252.4 billion in data centers.

In 2025 alone, the IT macro-sector moved R$ 919.7 billion, 7.2% of GDP, up 15% in one year. The country that treated technology as a sector is treating it as a foundation.

The present and the queue

The current picture already matters: 205 operational data centers and an 88% renewable power matrix. The picture that decides the decade is the queue: 38 gigawatts in grid-connection requests, up 330% from 2024 to 2025. Of those, 7.1 GW are already in advanced stages, equivalent to 28.7 billion dollars in investments.

For scale: 38 GW is dozens of times the sector’s connected capacity today. The queue is not the same as construction, but it is the best proxy for capital intent that exists: companies request grid connection after the investment decision is made.

Why energy switched sides on the board

AI turned energy into the decade’s global bottleneck. A data center without watts is not a project, it is a rendering. And this is where Brazil plays a different hand: an 88% renewable matrix in a world that must decarbonize exactly the load AI is creating.

The international contrast is direct: mature markets fight over energy with years-long transmission queues and social resistance to new generation. Brazil has demand, clean energy, and now an approved fiscal instrument.

The remaining bottleneck and the law that unlocked it

The weak point was cost: building a data center in Brazil costs 36% more than in the United States, mostly from the tax load on equipment.

That is the bottleneck ReData, approved by the Senate on September 1st, attacks: a five-year suspension of import tax, PIS Cofins, and IPI on equipment purchases, with counter-commitments on domestic supply, clean energy, and water efficiency. The fiscal window that was closed is open. Turning the queue into construction remains the hard part.

What it means for those who are not giants

The wave is not only for hyperscalers. Three effects reach ordinary companies:

  1. Local capacity with local latency: more domestic data centers mean more options to host Brazilian workloads near the user, with latency international distance cannot offer and data sovereignty by default.
  2. Competitive pricing: scale arriving in the domestic market pushes infrastructure costs down, from colocation to managed hosting.
  3. Ecosystem: vendors, integrations, and talent thicken around data center hubs. Anyone operating national infrastructure buys from that ecosystem without ever building a rack.

Conclusion

R$ 2 trillion is a country plan, not a sector plan. What turns such plans into reality is converting the queue: 38 GW requested, 7.1 GW advanced, taxes unlocked.

For a company deciding today where to host the next five years of workload, the map changed: national infrastructure stopped being a tax-driven plan B and became a product thesis, with clean energy, latency, and jurisdiction on its side. The window is open, for the country and for whoever knows how to occupy it.

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Frequently Asked Questions

R$ 2 trillion between 2026 and 2029, according to Brasscom: R$ 765.6 billion in cloud, R$ 736.6 billion in AI, and R$ 252.4 billion in data centers. In 2025 alone, the IT macro-sector moved R$ 919.7 billion, 7.2% of GDP, up 15% year over year.

205 operational data centers and a queue of 38 gigawatts in grid-connection requests (up 330% from 2024 to 2025), of which 7.1 GW are already in advanced stages, equivalent to 28.7 billion dollars in investments. The power matrix is 88% renewable, a differentiator in a market where energy became AI’s bottleneck.

Construction costs are 36% above the United States, mainly due to the tax load on equipment. That is exactly the bottleneck ReData attacks: with the suspension of import taxes on equipment approved by the Senate, the CAPEX math starts to close.

Three things: more local capacity (lower latency and data sovereignty for Brazilian workloads), more competitive infrastructure pricing as scale arrives, and an ecosystem of vendors and talent growing around the data centers. Anyone hosting national load benefits even without building anything.

Queues that never become construction: energy, licensing, and taxes are the classic bottlenecks. ReData unlocked the tax part, but executing the 38 GW depends on transmission and permits. For the market, the warning sign is the international comparison: capital goes where the math closes first.

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